Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for 12 de Octubre had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a 12 de Octubre win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.