Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 23, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
Internacional (Brasil)

Catolica
2 - 1
Internacional

Zampedri (25', 90')
Pinares (20'), Huerta (59'), Zampedri (63'), Parot (87'), Pedro Fuenzalida (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
D'Alessandro (24' pen.)
Cuesta (29'), D'Alessandro (32'), Rodinei (80'), Jussa (90')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Internacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawInternacional
39.47%27%33.53%
Both teams to score 50.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36%54.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03%75.97%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94%27.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57%62.43%
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35%30.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11%66.89%
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 39.47%
    Internacional 33.53%
    Draw 27%
Universidad CatolicaDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.47%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 7.58%
0-2 @ 5.8%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.53%

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