Ceara
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16
Nov 4, 2020 at 10pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Santos

Ceara
1 - 0
Santos

Vinicius (70')
Vinicius (78'), Carvalho (90+2'), Naressi (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pituca (60'), Marinho (90+1')
Sandry (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 clash between Ceara and Santos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Santos had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.

Result
CearaDrawSantos
43.2%24.95%31.85%
Both teams to score 56.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56%46.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28%68.72%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49%21.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44%54.57%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33%27.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78%63.22%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 43.2%
    Santos 31.85%
    Draw 24.95%
CearaDrawSantos
1-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.2%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.65%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.85%