CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Oct 15, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Bermuda National Stadium

Dominican Rep.
5 - 0
Antigua

de Lucas (14'), Morschel (35'), Romero (45+1' pen.), Firpo (52'), Garcia (75')
de Lucas (20'), Vasquez (59')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Deterville (9'), Challenger (60')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Dominican Republic and Antigua and Barbuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominican Republic

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Antigua 0-5 Dominican Rep.
Saturday, October 12 at 6.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Antigua 0-5 Dominican Rep.
Saturday, October 12 at 6.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 72.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for an Antigua and Barbuda win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.

Result
Dominican Republic	Draw	Antigua and Barbuda
72.4% ( 0.08)	15.66% ( -0.29)	11.93% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 58.85% (

2.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.64% (

2.17)

29.36% (

-2.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.58% (

2.6)

50.42% (

-2.59)

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.93% (

0.53)

7.07% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.2% (

1.38)

25.8% (

-1.38)

Antigua and Barbuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.32% (

1.88)

36.68% (

-1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.53% (

1.84)

73.47% (

-1.83)

Score Analysis

Dominican Republic 72.4%

Antigua and Barbuda 11.93%

Draw 15.66%

Dominican Republic	Draw	Antigua and Barbuda
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.68) 4-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.25) 5-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.23) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.16) 6-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.27% Total : 72.4%	1-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.25% Total : 15.66%	1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.93%