Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Dominica had a probability of 11.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Dominica win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.