CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Oct 12, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Bermuda National Stadium

Antigua
0 - 5
Dominican Rep.

Richards (50'), Stevens (61')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Garcia (11'), Romero (13'), Vasquez (39'), Firpo (88', 90+2' pen.)
Garcia (3')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Antigua and Barbuda and Dominican Republic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Antigua 0-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, September 10 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Dominican Republic

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Dominican Rep. 2-0 Dominica
Tuesday, September 10 at 4pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.19%) and 1-3 (6.18%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.

Result
Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Dominican Republic
28% ( -1.54)	21.44% ( -0.71)	50.56% ( 2.26)

Both teams to score 67.02% (

1.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.05% (

2.45)

31.95% (

-2.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.49% (

2.81)

53.51% (

-2.8)

Antigua and Barbuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13% (

0.3)

22.87% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.39% (

0.44)

56.61% (

-0.43)

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.89% (

1.62)

13.11% (

-1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.25% (

3.19)

39.75% (

-3.18)

Score Analysis

Antigua and Barbuda 28%

Dominican Republic 50.56%

Draw 21.44%

Antigua and Barbuda	Draw	Dominican Republic
2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.56) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.08% Total : 28%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.57) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3% ( -0.41) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.29) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 3.14% ( 0.34) 2-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.27) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.22) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.2) 3-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.14) 2-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.56%