Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.