Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.