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Champions League

Monaco
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2021 at 7pm UK
Generali Arena

Monaco
3 - 1
Sparta Prague

Martins (50'), Golovin (56'), Diop (81')
Tchouameni (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moberg-Karlsson (78')
Wiesner (5'), Pulkrab (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Monaco and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawSparta Prague
58.24%23.49%18.27%
Both teams to score 47.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98%52.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.25%73.75%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39%17.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81%48.19%
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.53%42.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.16%78.84%
Score Analysis
    Monaco 58.23%
    Sparta Prague 18.27%
    Draw 23.49%
MonacoDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 12.98%
2-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 5.59%
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 1.04%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 58.23%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 7.48%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.4%
1-2 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 2.74%
1-3 @ 1.36%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 18.27%

How you voted: Monaco vs Sparta Prague

Monaco
89.2%
Sparta Prague
10.8%
74