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Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Kopavogsvollur
FC Copenhagen

Breidablik
0 - 2
Copenhagen


Ingvarsson (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Larsson (1'), Falk (32')
Bergmann Johannesson (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Breidablik and Copenhagen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Breidablik

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Last Game: Breidablik 2-1 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 18 at 8.15pm in Champions League
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Copenhagen

All competitions
Last Game: Lyngby Boldklub 1-2 Copenhagen
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Breidablik had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Breidablik win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.

Result
BreidablikDrawCopenhagen
22.56% (0.074999999999999 0.07)22.99% (0.016999999999999 0.02)54.44% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)44.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)66.92% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (0.064999999999998 0.06)33.75% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.59% (0.07 0.07)70.41% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)16.27% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (-0.058 -0.06)45.82% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Breidablik 22.56%
    Copenhagen 54.44%
    Draw 22.99%
BreidablikDrawCopenhagen
1-0 @ 5.97% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.88% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.24% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.56%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.49%
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 54.44%

How you voted: Breidablik vs Copenhagen

Breidablik
17.4%
Draw
21.7%
Copenhagen
60.9%
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