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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 72.2% | 17.36% | 10.44% |
| Both teams to score 46.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% | 42.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% | 64.71% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.66% | 10.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.2% | 33.8% |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.88% | 48.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.69% | 83.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-0 @ 12.81% 1-0 @ 11.29% 3-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-1 @ 7.09% 4-0 @ 5.5% 4-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 2.5% 5-1 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.47% 6-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.1% Total : 72.2% | 1-1 @ 8.26% 0-0 @ 4.98% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.7% Total : 17.36% | 0-1 @ 3.64% 1-2 @ 3.02% 0-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.45% Total : 10.44% |