Brasileiro Gameweek 18
May 31, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
May 25, 2026 12.30am
Vasco 0 - 3 Bragantino
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Cauan Barros

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 10.30pm
Corinthians 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 25.58% and a draw has a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.05%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win is 0-1 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.92%).

Result

Vasco da Gama 49.11% (-0.87)
Draw 25.34% (+0.17)
Atletico Mineiro 25.58% (+0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.06% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.2% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.8% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 51.45%
Under 2.5 48.55%
Over 3.5 28.87% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.1% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 16.42% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.58% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 36.78% (-0.29)
Draw 43.45% (+0.43)
Atletico Mineiro 19.77% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 58.78% (-0.27)
No Goal 6.67% (+0.02)
Atletico Mineiro 34.55% (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 55.5% (-0.28)
Equal 8 12.21% (+0.06)
Under 8 32.29% (+0.22)
Over 9 43.26% (-0.29)
Equal 9 12.24% (+0.02)
Under 9 44.5% (+0.28)
Over 10.5 32.07% (-0.29)
Under 10.5 67.93% (+0.29)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 46.71% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 53.29% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 21.16% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 78.84% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 7.72% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 92.28% (+0.18)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 62.12% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 37.88% (-0.65)
Over 1.5 28.29% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 71.71% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 9.63% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 90.37% (-0.45)
Over 3.5 2.67% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.33% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 49.12%
Draw 25.34%
Atletico Mineiro 25.59%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 10.05% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.55% (-0.20)
Total : 49.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.67% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.03)
Total : 25.34%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 7.03% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 6.67% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.66% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.99% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.46% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.5% (+0.15)
Total : 25.59%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Junior Alonso 18' goal
  • Hulk 32' goal
  • Dudu 49' goal
  • Dudu 69' goal
  • Victor Luis 75' goal
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 29'
  • redcard Hugo Moura 31'
Brasileiro
Aug 10, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 4, 2024 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 30' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 52' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 64' goal
  • Lucas Piton 77' yellowcard
  • Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guilherme Arana 43'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 54'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 76'
Copa do Brasil
Oct 19, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
  • Pablo Vegetti 37' goal
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 66' yellowcard
  • Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 79' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 88' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Mendes 45'+6'
  • goal Hulk 83'
Copa do Brasil
Oct 2, 2024 11.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena MRV
  • Guilherme Arana 38' goal
  • Paulinho 44' goal
  • goal Philippe Coutinho 14'
  • yellowcard Emerson Rodriguez 31'
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 42'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Hulk 27' goal
  • Hulk 39' goal
  • Junior Alonso 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 23'