Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.56% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 26.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.