Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.51% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.