Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes Río Cuarto win with a probability of 38.77%. A draw had a probability of 31.55% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 29.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes Río Cuarto win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.65%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.41%) , while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.