Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 42.09%. A draw had a probability of 31.02% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.67%) , while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.