Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 50.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.86% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%) , while for a Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood.