Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 29.97% and a win for Estudiantes Río Cuarto had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.43%) , while for a Estudiantes Río Cuarto win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.