Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 1-0 (11.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.