Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.16% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 15.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.83%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.04%) , while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (7.39%).