Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.28% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%) , while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.