Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%) , while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood.