Club Friendlies 1
Jan 18, 2026 1.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Facundo Batista 11' yellowcard
  • Gaston Togni 46' yellowcard
  • Andres Madruga 46' yellowcard
  • Gastón Alberto Togni 46' yellowcard
  • Andrés Madruga 46' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Alegre 62' yellowcard
  • Kevin Andy Rodríguez Suárez 63' yellowcard
  • Matias Arezo 63' yellowcard
  • Matías Arezo 63' yellowcard
  • Júlio Nehúen Daguer González 73' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Darias 74' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Darías 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Salas 46'
  • yellowcard Santiago Lencinas 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Lencina 62'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 63'
  • yellowcard Tomas Galvan 63'
  • yellowcard Ian Martin Subiabre 63'
  • yellowcard Tomás Galván 63'
  • yellowcard Ian Subiabre 63'
  • yellowcard Facundo González 87'

Penarol vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

River Plate

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jan 12, 2026 12.00am
River Plate 1 - 0 Millonarios

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 41.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.44% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 41.36% (-5.05)
Draw 29.44% (+0.41)
River Plate 29.2% (+4.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.91% (+1.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.82% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 34.18% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 40% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 60% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 19.41% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 80.54% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 9.72% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.28% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Penarol 31.82%
Draw 46.91%
River Plate 21.27%

Team To Score First

Penarol 50.56% (+0.09)
No Goal 11.15% (-0.14)
River Plate 38.29% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 47.34%
Equal 8 12.28%
Under 8 40.38%
Over 9 35.81%
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 52.66%
Over 10.5 25.87%
Under 10.5 74.13%

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 35.28% (-3.43)
Under 1.5 64.72% (+3.43)
Over 2.5 12.73% (-2.12)
Under 2.5 87.27% (+2.12)
Over 3.5 3.86% (-0.89)
Under 3.5 96.14% (+0.88)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 61.73% (+4.27)
Under 0.5 38.27% (-4.27)
Over 1.5 25.72% (+3.94)
Under 1.5 74.28% (-3.94)
Over 2.5 8.37% (+1.94)
Under 2.5 91.63% (-1.94)
Over 3.5 2.21% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 97.79% (-0.65)

Score analysis

Penarol 41.36%
Draw 29.42%
River Plate 29.21%
Penarol
1-0 @ 12.6% (-1.16)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.43)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-1.30)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.44)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.81)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.67% (-0.88)
Total : 41.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1% (+0.26)
0-0 @ 11.15% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.25% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 29.42%
River Plate
0-1 @ 10.42% (+0.94)
1-2 @ 6.32% (+0.82)
0-2 @ 5.02% (+1.02)
1-3 @ 2.2% (+0.51)
0-3 @ 1.88% (+0.53)
2-3 @ 1.35% (+0.22)
Other @ 2.02% (+0.65)
Total : 29.21%