Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 43.84%. A draw had a probability of 31.28% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.35%) , while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood.