Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 35.68%. A draw had a probability of 33.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 30.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.76%) , while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.