Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jan 23, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente vs Estudiantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Nov 16, 2025 12.30am
Independiente 1 - 0 Rosario

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 12.00am
Racing 1 - 1 Estudiantes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw has a probability of 28.18% and a win for Estudiantes has a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.96%) , while for a Estudiantes win it is 0-1 (8.32%).

Result

Independiente 47.4% (+0.04)
Draw 28.18% (+0.04)
Estudiantes 24.42% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.97% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.97% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 32.03% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 41.96%
Under 2.5 58.04% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.27% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 77.73% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 12% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 88% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Independiente 30.86% (-0.02)
Draw 51.76%
Estudiantes 17.37% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Independiente 54.03%
No Goal 10.16% (+0.01)
Estudiantes 35.81% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 45.06%
Equal 8 12.29%
Under 8 42.65%
Over 9 33.72%
Equal 9 11.33%
Under 9 54.94%
Over 10.5 24.12%
Under 10.5 75.88%

Independiente Goals

Over 1.5 40.27% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 59.73% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 16.57% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.43% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.78%
Under 3.5 94.22%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5 57.84%
Under 0.5 42.16%
Over 1.5 23.47% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 76.53% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 6.98% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.02% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.86% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.14% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Independiente 47.41%
Draw 28.18%
Estudiantes 24.43%
Independiente
1-0 @ 13.57% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.94%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.74% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.77%
Total : 47.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.16% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.18%
Estudiantes
0-1 @ 8.32% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.85% (-0.03)
Total : 24.43%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 10
Aug 12, 2024 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
  • Santiago Ascacibar 31' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacibar 31' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacibar 81' redcard
  • Santiago Ascacibar 81' redcard
  • Tiago Palacios 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Tiago Palacios 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Facundo Rodriguez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Facundo Rodriguez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Lomonaco 34'
  • goal Kevin Lomonaco 34'
  • yellowcard Santiago Lopez 41'
  • yellowcard Santiago Lopez 41'
  • yellowcard Federico Vera 43'
  • yellowcard Federico Vera 43'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 62'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 62'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 66'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 66'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 79'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 79'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Maestro Puch 88'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Maestro Puch 88'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 9, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Zaid Romero 84' goal
  • goal Jorge Rodriguez 50'
  • goal Zaid Romero 86'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 21, 2022 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Alex Vigo 37' yellowcard
  • Leandro Benegas 52' goal
  • Leandro Fernandez 57' goal
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 30'
  • goal Leonardo Godoy 82'
  • yellowcard Aaron Spetale 86'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 13, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
  • Gustavo Del Prete 20' yellowcard
  • Mauro Boselli 46' goal
  • Agustin Rogel 53' goal
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 20'
  • yellowcard Carlos Benavidez 22'
  • goal Joaquin Laso 61'
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernandez 82'
Copa Diego Maradona
Jul 26, 2021 12.15am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Juan Manuel Insaurralde 15'
Copa Diego Maradona
May 15, 2021 9.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
  • Agustin Rogel 33' yellowcard
  • Francisco Apaolaza 75' yellowcard
  • Pablo Sabbag 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Ortega 50'
  • redcard Thomas Ortega 59'
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel Insaurralde 87'