Jan 23, 2026 11.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Libertadores de América

Luciano Cabral 45'
Victor Malcorra 59'
Giovanni Lautaro Millan 59'
Juan Fedorco 71'
Walter Mazzantti 72'
Ignacio Pussetto 81'

Fabricio Alexis Perez Escudero 46'
Fabricio Iacovich 46'
Edwuin Cetre 64'
Alexis Castro 68'
Lucas Dante Cornejo 68'
Eros Mancuso 68'
Franco Domínguez 79'

Independiente vs Estudiantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

W
W
D
W
W
W

Argentine Primera Division

W
W
W
W
L
L

Last game

Nov 16, 2025 12.30am

Independiente 1 - 0 Rosario

Goals scored

2

Top scorer

Luciano Cabral

Estudiantes

All competitions

D
W
W
W
L
L

Argentine Primera Division

D
W
W
W
L
L

Last game

Dec 14, 2025 12.00am

Racing 1 - 1 Estudiantes

Goals scored

1

Top scorer

Fabricio Alexis Perez Escudero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 28.14% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%) , while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Independiente 47.43% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 28.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Estudiantes 24.43% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

47.98% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 68% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 32% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 42% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 58% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 22.28% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 77.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 4.5 12.02% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 87.98% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Independiente 30.8% ▼ (-0.06)

Draw 51.81% ▲ (+0.06)

Estudiantes 17.39% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Independiente 54.04% ▲ (+0.01)

No Goal 10.16%

Estudiantes 35.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 45.05% ▼ (-0.02)

Equal 8 12.29%

Under 8 42.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 9 33.72%

Equal 9 11.33%

Under 9 54.95% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 10.5 24.12%

Under 10.5 75.88%

Independiente Goals

Over 1.5 40.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 59.72% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 16.58% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 83.42% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 5.8% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 94.2% ▼ (-0.02)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5 57.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 42.17% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 23.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 76.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 6.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 93.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 1.86%

Under 3.5 98.14%

Score analysis

Independiente 47.43%

Draw 28.15%

Estudiantes 24.44%

Independiente

1-0 @ 13.57%

2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.02)

2-0 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 4.05%

3-0 @ 3.74%

3-2 @ 2.3%

Other @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 47.43%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.95% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 10.16%

2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 28.15%

Estudiantes

0-1 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.04)

1-2 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 1.18%

Other @ 1.85%

Total : 24.44%

Head to Head

Aug 12, 2024 12.00am

0

2

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Santiago Ascacibar 31'
Santiago Ascacibar 31'
Santiago Ascacibar 81'
Santiago Ascacibar 81'
Tiago Palacios 90'+2'
Tiago Palacios 90'+2'
Facundo Rodriguez 90'+4'
Facundo Rodriguez 90'+4'

Kevin Lomonaco 34'
Kevin Lomonaco 34'
Santiago Lopez 41'
Santiago Lopez 41'
Federico Vera 43'
Federico Vera 43'
Gabriel Avalos 62'
Gabriel Avalos 62'
Ivan Marcone 66'
Ivan Marcone 66'
Joaquin Laso 79'
Joaquin Laso 79'
Ignacio Maestro Puch 88'
Ignacio Maestro Puch 88'

Apr 9, 2023 6.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Libertadores de AmÃ©rica

Zaid Romero 84'

Jorge Rodriguez 50'
Zaid Romero 86'

Jun 21, 2022 1.30am

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Libertadores de AmÃ©rica

Alex Vigo 37'
Leandro Benegas 52'
Leandro Fernandez 57'

Jorge Rodriguez 30'
Leonardo Godoy 82'
Aaron Spetale 86'

Feb 13, 2022 12.30am

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)

Gustavo Del Prete 20'
Mauro Boselli 46'
Agustin Rogel 53'

Joaquin Laso 20'
Carlos Benavidez 22'
Joaquin Laso 61'
Leandro Fernandez 82'

Jul 26, 2021 12.15am

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Juan Manuel Insaurralde 15'

May 15, 2021 9.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

ET Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)

Agustin Rogel 33'
Francisco Apaolaza 75'
Pablo Sabbag 86'

Thomas Ortega 50'
Thomas Ortega 59'
Juan Manuel Insaurralde 87'

Form Data

Wanderers 0 - 2 Independiente

Everton 3 - 5 Independiente

Millonarios 0 - 0 Independiente

Independiente 2 - 1 Alianza Lima

Independiente 1 - 0 Rosario

Deportivo Riestra 0 - 1 Independiente

Racing 1 - 1 Estudiantes

Gimnasia 0 - 1 Estudiantes

C. Cordoba 0 - 1 Estudiantes

Rosario 0 - 1 Estudiantes

Estudiantes 1 - 2 Argentinos Jrs

Tigre 1 - 0 Estudiantes