Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%) , while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (8.5%).