Club Friendlies 3
Jan 17, 2026 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • Luciano Cosentino 13' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Olivera 54' yellowcard
  • N. Olivera 54' yellowcard
  • Roque Ricca 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Talagorria 71' yellowcard
  • José Alberti 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Zavala 46'
  • yellowcard Victor Malcorra 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Lomonaco 46'
  • yellowcard Facundo Zabala 46'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Malcorra 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Lomónaco 46'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 47'
  • goal Gabriel Ávalos 47'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Avalos 69'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Ávalos 69'
  • yellowcard Alan Laprida 72'
  • yellowcard Mateo Perez 72'
  • yellowcard Mateo Pérez Curci 72'
  • yellowcard Alan Daian Laprida 72'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 73'
  • yellowcard Luciano Barros 83'
  • yellowcard Luciano Hugo Barros Ayala 83'

Montevideo Wanderers vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

Independiente

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 12.00am
Millonarios 0 - 0 Independiente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.39% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.19%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 16.29% (-0.02)
Draw 27.39% (+0.02)
Independiente 56.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.41% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.47% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 36.53% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 37.31% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 62.69% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 18.76% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 81.24% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 10.78% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 89.22% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 14.67% (-0.01)
Draw 42.76% (+0.01)
Independiente 42.57%

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 27.39% (-0.01)
No Goal 12.19%
Independiente 60.42% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 44.07% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.5%
Under 8 43.43% (+0.04)
Over 9 32.64% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.43% (-0.01)
Under 9 55.93% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 23.05% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 76.95% (+0.02)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 13.67% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 86.33% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 2.09% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 97.91% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 0.43%
Under 3.5 99.57%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 76.57% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.43% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.36% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.64% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.97% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.03% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.7% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.3% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 16.29%
Draw 27.4%
Independiente 56.33%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 3.82% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 16.29%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.19%
1-1 @ 12.08% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.97%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.4%
Independiente
0-1 @ 16.59% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 11.3% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.69% (-0.01)
Total : 56.33%