Club Friendlies 3
Jan 14, 2026 12.00am
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

Millonarios vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Millonarios

All competitions

Independiente

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 12.00am
Independiente 2 - 1 Alianza Lima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millonarios win with a probability of 42.71%. A draw has a probability of 30.32% and a win for Independiente has a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.73%) , while for a Independiente win it is 0-1 (10.37%).

Result

Millonarios 42.71%
Draw 30.32%
Independiente 27.02%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 62.67%
Under 1.5 37.33%
Over 2.5 35.73%
Under 2.5 64.27%
Over 3.5 16.48%
Under 3.5 83.52%
Over 4.5 7.97%
Under 4.5 92.03%

First Half Winner

Millonarios 31.12%
Draw 50.34%
Independiente 18.54%

Team To Score First

Millonarios 49.75%
No Goal 12.78%
Independiente 37.47%

Corners

Over 8 47.58%
Equal 8 12.58%
Under 8 39.84%
Over 9 35.74%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 52.42%
Over 10.5 25.55%
Under 10.5 74.45%

Millonarios Goals

Over 1.5 33.57%
Under 1.5 66.43%
Over 2.5 11.22%
Under 2.5 88.78%
Over 3.5 3.28%
Under 3.5 96.72%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 58.34%
Under 0.5 41.66%
Over 1.5 22.13%
Under 1.5 77.87%
Over 2.5 6.3%
Under 2.5 93.7%
Over 3.5 1.44%
Under 3.5 98.56%

Score analysis

Millonarios 42.7%
Draw 30.33%
Independiente 27.02%
Millonarios
1-0 @ 14.23%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 3.08%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.73%
0-0 @ 12.78%
2-2 @ 3.49%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.33%
Independiente
0-1 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 27.02%

Head to Head

Gameweek 5
May 18, 2018 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andres Cadavid 59' goal
  • Henry Rojas 61' yellowcard
  • Andres Cadavid 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 23'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 41'
  • yellowcard Jorge Figal 63'
  • goal Emmanuel Gigliotti 75'
  • yellowcard Fernando Gaibor 79'
  • yellowcard Martin Campana 92'
Gameweek 2
Mar 16, 2018 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Martin Benitez 24' goal
  • Alan Franco 70' yellowcard
  • Juan Sanchez 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Silva 40'