Argentine Primera Division
Newell's OB
Jan 28, 2026 1.15am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Independiente
  • Jerónimo Russo 46' yellowcard
  • Walter Nunez 46' yellowcard
  • Jeronimo Russo 46' yellowcard
  • Walter Núñez 46' yellowcard
  • Franco Manuel García 62' yellowcard
  • Michael Hoyos 62' yellowcard
  • Franco García 62' yellowcard
  • David Sotelo 81' yellowcard
  • David Sotelo 82' yellowcard
  • David Sotelo 83' yellowcard
  • Michael Hoyos 89' goal
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 34'
  • goal Gabriel Ávalos 34'
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 67'
  • yellowcard Mateo Pérez Curci 67'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 84'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Pussetto 84'
  • yellowcard Iván Marcone 84'

Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 1.15am
Talleres 2 - 1 Newell's OB
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Walter Nunez

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 11.00pm
Independiente 1 - 1 Estudiantes
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 44.82%. A draw had a probability of 29.14% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%) , while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result

Newell's Old Boys 26.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 29.14% ▲ (+0.43)
Independiente 44.82% ▼ (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.56% ▼ (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.59% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 35.41% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 37.58% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 2.5 62.42% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 3.5 18.41% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 81.59% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 9.07% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 90.93% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Newell's Old Boys 18.54% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 48.94% ▼ (-0.08)
Independiente 32.51% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Newell's Old Boys 34.36% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 11.61% ▲ (+0.19)
Independiente 54.03% ▼ (-0.34)

Corners

Over 8 47.16% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.91% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 8 40.93% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 9 35.98% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.17% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 9 52.84% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 26.32% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 10.5 73.68% ▼ (-0.24)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 1.5 22.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 77.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.48% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 98.52% ▼ (-0.13)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 71.09% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 28.91% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 36.69% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 63.31% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 13.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 86.28% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.85% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Newell's Old Boys 26.05%
Draw 29.14%
Independiente 44.81%
Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 26.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07% ▲ (+0.23)
0-0 @ 11.61% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 29.14%
Independiente
0-1 @ 13.76% ▼ (-0.39)
0-2 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.28)
1-2 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 44.81%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 24
Newell's OB
Nov 26, 2024 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Independiente
  • Ever Banega 5' goal
  • Armando Mendez 13' yellowcard
  • Ever Banega 30' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Garcia 48' goal
  • Tomas Perez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Segovia 41'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Santiago Hidalgo 49'
  • goal Alexis Canelo 90'+3'
  • redcard Joaquin Laso 90'+11'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 24
Independiente
Jul 12, 2023 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Newell's OB
  • goal Cristian Ferreira 15'
  • goal Cristian Ferreira 15'
  • goal Edgarl Elizalde 72' (OG)
  • goal Gustavo Velazquez 72'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Independiente
Sep 25, 2022 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Newell's OB
  • Leandro Benegas 62' goal
Copa Diego Maradona
Newell's OB
Oct 31, 2021 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Independiente
  • Marco Campagnaro 9' yellowcard
  • Marco Campagnaro 72' redcard
  • Roman Alberto Bravo 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel Insaurralde 90'+3'
Copa Diego Maradona
Newell's OB
Mar 5, 2021 10.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Independiente
  • Pablo Perez 32' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Scocco 56' yellowcard
  • Fernando Belluschi 75' goal
  • Manuel Capasso 80' yellowcard
  • Maxi Rodriguez 85' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Palacios 9'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bustos 16'
  • goal Fabricio Bustos 31'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 54'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Sosa 90'+5'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
Independiente
Dec 13, 2019 8.10pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Newell's OB
  • Cecilio Dominguez 9' goal
  • Silvio Romero 45' goal
  • Juan Sanchez 50' yellowcard
  • Pablo Perez 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 95' yellowcard
  • Jorge Figal 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Leal 10'
  • goal Angelo Gabrielli 38'
  • goal Fabricio Fontanini 60'
  • yellowcard Angelo Gabrielli 74'
  • goal Maxi Rodriguez 87'
  • yellowcard Alexis Rodriguez 95'

Form Data

Talleres 2 - 1 Newell's OB
Newell's OB 0 - 1 Racing
Huracan 0 - 2 Newell's OB
Newell's OB 0 - 1 Union
Argentinos Jrs 3 - 1 Newell's OB
Newell's OB 0 - 0 Tigre
Independiente 1 - 1 Estudiantes
Wanderers 0 - 2 Independiente
Everton 3 - 5 Independiente
Millonarios 0 - 0 Independiente
Independiente 2 - 1 Alianza Lima
Independiente 1 - 0 Rosario