Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.71% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%) , while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.