Argentine Primera Division
Independiente
Jan 31, 2026 10.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Velez Sarsfield
  • Jano Gordon 32' goal
  • Giovanni Lautaro Millan 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo Zavala 46' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Millán 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo Zabala 46' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Pussetto 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jano Gordon 31'
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 63'
  • yellowcard Florian Monzon 64'
  • yellowcard Florián Monzón 64'
  • yellowcard Alex Zahir Verón 75'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 75'
  • yellowcard Á. Verón 75'

Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 1.15am
Newell's OB 1 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 8.45pm
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 1 Talleres
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.04% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%) , while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Independiente 46.33% ▲ (+0.54)
Draw 28.04% ▼ (-0.36)
Velez Sarsfield 25.66% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.36% ▲ (+0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.59% ▲ (+0.87)
Under 1.5 37.41% ▼ (-0.87)
Over 2.5 35.46% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 2.5 64.54% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 3.5 16.63% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 3.5 83.37% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 4.5 8.06% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 4.5 91.94% ▼ (-0.44)

First Half Winner

Independiente 34.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 47.75% ▼ (-0.14)
Velez Sarsfield 17.89% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Independiente 54.3% ▲ (+0.22)
No Goal 11.7% ▼ (-0.42)
Velez Sarsfield 34% ▲ (+0.21)

Corners

Over 8 49.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 38.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 37.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 50.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 27.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 72.21% ▲ (+0.03)

Independiente Goals

Over 1.5 35.22% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 1.5 64.78% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 2.5 12.86% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 2.5 87.14% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 3.82% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 96.18% ▼ (-0.23)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 55.92% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 0.5 44.08% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 20.68% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 79.32% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 2.5 5.2% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 94.8% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 1.27% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 98.73% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Independiente 46.32%
Draw 28.06%
Velez Sarsfield 25.68%
Independiente
1-0 @ 15.55% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 46.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 11.7% ▼ (-0.42)
2-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.06%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 10.22% ▼ (-0.30)
1-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 25.68%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Velez Sarsfield
Aug 17, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Independiente
Feb 12, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Velez Sarsfield
  • Gabriel Avalos 31' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 43' goal
  • Kevin Lomonaco 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Santiago Gabriel Montiel 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Luciano Cabral 78' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Cavanagh 54'
  • yellowcard Elias Gomez 83'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Independiente
May 27, 2024 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Velez Sarsfield
  • Joaquin Laso 48' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Laso 48' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • Alexis Canelo 67' yellowcard
  • Braian Romero 68' yellowcard
  • Santiago Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Santiago Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Claudio Aquino 32'
  • goal Claudio Aquino 32'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordonez 62'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordonez 62'
  • yellowcard Alexis Canelo 67'
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 68'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
Velez Sarsfield
Jan 31, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Independiente
  • goal Joaquin Laso 27'
  • goal Joaquin Laso 27'
  • yellowcard Felipe Aguilar 60'
  • yellowcard Felipe Aguilar 60'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
Independiente
Aug 27, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Velez Sarsfield
  • Cristian Baez 19' yellowcard
  • Matias Gimenez Rojas 51' goal
  • Joaquin Laso 87' yellowcard
  • Matias Gimenez Rojas 90'+5' goal
  • Ivan Marcone 90'+13' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rey 90'+13' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 13'
  • redcard Sebastian Mendez 14'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Gianetti 56'
  • goal Santiago Castro 83'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 89'
  • yellowcard Abiel Osorio 90'+8'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
Feb 12, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Independiente

Form Data

Newell's OB 1 - 1 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 1 Estudiantes
Wanderers 0 - 2 Independiente
Everton 3 - 5 Independiente
Millonarios 0 - 0 Independiente
Independiente 2 - 1 Alianza Lima
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 1 Talleres
Instituto 0 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 2 Argentinos Jrs
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 River Plate
Gimnasia 2 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Talleres