Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (11.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.