Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barracas Central win with a probability of 35.33%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barracas Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (11.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.