Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barracas Central win with a probability of 45.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.63% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barracas Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%) , while for a Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.