Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 28.76% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%) , while for a Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.