Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Eva Perón de Junín

Sarmiento vs Atletico Tucuman - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 12.15am
Independiente Rivadavia 2 - 1 Sarmiento
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Junior Marabel

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 1.00am
Tucuman 1 - 1 Huracan
Goals scored
2

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sarmiento win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw has a probability of 29.12% and a win for Atletico Tucuman has a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.24%) , while for a Atletico Tucuman win it is 0-1 (9.71%).

Result

Sarmiento 47.05% (-0.03)
Draw 29.12% (-0.01)
Atletico Tucuman 23.82% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.06% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.54% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 37.46% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 35.34% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 64.66% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.19% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 83.82% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 8.19% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 91.81% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Sarmiento 25.65% (-0.07)
Draw 51.89% (+0.08)
Atletico Tucuman 22.46% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Sarmiento 47.36% (-0.05)
No Goal 11.86% (-0.01)
Atletico Tucuman 40.78% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 52.84% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.77% (+0.02)
Under 8 35.39% (-0.04)
Over 9 41.3%
Equal 9 11.54% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.16% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 30.9% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 69.1% (+0.02)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 1.5 36.15% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.85% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 13.74% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 86.26% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.33% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.67% (+0.02)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5 53.75% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 46.25% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 19.34% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 80.66% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 5.48% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 94.52% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.34% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.66% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Sarmiento 47.05%
Draw 29.12%
Atletico Tucuman 23.83%
Sarmiento
1-0 @ 15.89% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 47.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 11.86% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 29.12%
Atletico Tucuman
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.18% (+0.05)
Total : 23.83%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 18, 2025 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 14, 2025 1.15am
5
0
HT : 8 0
FT Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
  • Leandro Diaz 2' goal
  • Leandro Diaz 2' goal
  • Nicolas Lamendola 19' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lamendola 19' yellowcard
  • Mateo Coronel 30' goal
  • Mateo Coronel 30' goal
  • Gabriel Diaz 42' goal
  • Gabriel Diaz 42' goal
  • Adrian Sanchez 45' goal
  • Adrian Sanchez 45' goal
  • Damian Martinez 53' yellowcard
  • Damian Martinez 53' yellowcard
  • Mateo Coronel 67' goal
  • Mateo Coronel 67' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Guiacobini 29'
  • yellowcard Tomas Guiacobini 29'
  • yellowcard Alex Vigo 48'
  • yellowcard Alex Vigo 48'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Gho 82'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Gho 82'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Nov 4, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
  • Marcelo Estigarribia 39' goal
  • Renzo Tesuri 70' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Romero 80' yellowcard
  • Mateo Coronel 81' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Castro 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel Insaurralde 28'
  • yellowcard Franco Paredes 62'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Jun 26, 2023 12.30am
4
1
HT : 6 0
FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
  • Sergio Quiroga 18' goal
  • Sergio Quiroga 18' goal
  • Lucas Melano 21' goal
  • Lucas Melano 22' goal
  • Gabriel Diaz 36' goal
  • Gabriel Diaz 36' goal
  • Sergio Quiroga 83' goal
  • Sergio Quiroga 83' goal
  • goal Mateo Coronel 57'
  • goal Mateo Coronel 57'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Jul 19, 2022 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
  • Joaquin Pereyra 61' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Acosta 69' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Maestro Puch 86' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Guanini 5'
  • yellowcard Federico Paradela 56'
  • yellowcard Yair Arismendi 90'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 10, 2022 10.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
  • Yair Arismendi 12' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Lopez 66' goal
  • Harrinson Mancilla 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcelo Ortiz 30'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Carrera 59'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Pereyra 77'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Thaller 89'