Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
  • Junior Marabel 19' goal
  • Diego Churin 36' goal
  • Diego Churín 36' goal
  • Juan Manuel Cabrera 46' yellowcard
  • Santiago Salle 46' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Martinez 67' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Martínez 67' yellowcard
  • Carlos Villalba 79' yellowcard
  • Agustín Seyral Echecopar 86' yellowcard
  • Agustín Seyral 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Nicola Albanell 46'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gabriel Abeldaño 46'
  • yellowcard Franco Nicola 46'
  • yellowcard Carlos Abeldano 46'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Godoy 61'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Villa 70'
  • goal Maximiliano Villa 71'
  • yellowcard Manuel Brondo 85'

Sarmiento vs Atletico Tucuman - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 12.15am
Independiente Rivadavia 2 - 1 Sarmiento
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Junior Marabel

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 1.00am
Tucuman 1 - 1 Huracan
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Leandro Diaz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 29.12% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%) , while for a Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Sarmiento 47.05% (-0.03)
Draw 29.12% (-0.01)
Atletico Tucuman 23.82% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.06% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.54% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 37.46% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 35.34% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 64.66% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.19% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 83.82% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 8.19% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 91.81% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Sarmiento 25.65% (-0.07)
Draw 51.89% (+0.08)
Atletico Tucuman 22.46% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Sarmiento 47.36% (-0.05)
No Goal 11.86% (-0.01)
Atletico Tucuman 40.78% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 52.84% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.77% (+0.02)
Under 8 35.39% (-0.04)
Over 9 41.3%
Equal 9 11.54% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.16% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 30.9% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 69.1% (+0.02)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 1.5 36.15% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.85% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 13.74% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 86.26% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.33% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.67% (+0.02)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5 53.75% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 46.25% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 19.34% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 80.66% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 5.48% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 94.52% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.34% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.66% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Sarmiento 47.05%
Draw 29.12%
Atletico Tucuman 23.83%
Sarmiento
1-0 @ 15.89% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 47.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 11.86% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 29.12%
Atletico Tucuman
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.18% (+0.05)
Total : 23.83%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 18, 2025 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 14, 2025 1.15am
5
0
HT : 8 0
FT Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
  • Leandro Diaz 2' goal
  • Leandro Diaz 2' goal
  • Nicolas Lamendola 19' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lamendola 19' yellowcard
  • Mateo Coronel 30' goal
  • Mateo Coronel 30' goal
  • Gabriel Diaz 42' goal
  • Gabriel Diaz 42' goal
  • Adrian Sanchez 45' goal
  • Adrian Sanchez 45' goal
  • Damian Martinez 53' yellowcard
  • Damian Martinez 53' yellowcard
  • Mateo Coronel 67' goal
  • Mateo Coronel 67' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Guiacobini 29'
  • yellowcard Tomas Guiacobini 29'
  • yellowcard Alex Vigo 48'
  • yellowcard Alex Vigo 48'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Gho 82'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Gho 82'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Nov 4, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
  • Marcelo Estigarribia 39' goal
  • Renzo Tesuri 70' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Romero 80' yellowcard
  • Mateo Coronel 81' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Castro 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel Insaurralde 28'
  • yellowcard Franco Paredes 62'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Jun 26, 2023 12.30am
4
1
HT : 6 0
FT Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
  • Sergio Quiroga 18' goal
  • Sergio Quiroga 18' goal
  • Lucas Melano 21' goal
  • Lucas Melano 22' goal
  • Gabriel Diaz 36' goal
  • Gabriel Diaz 36' goal
  • Sergio Quiroga 83' goal
  • Sergio Quiroga 83' goal
  • goal Mateo Coronel 57'
  • goal Mateo Coronel 57'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Jul 19, 2022 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
  • Joaquin Pereyra 61' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Acosta 69' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Maestro Puch 86' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Guanini 5'
  • yellowcard Federico Paradela 56'
  • yellowcard Yair Arismendi 90'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 10, 2022 10.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
  • Yair Arismendi 12' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Lopez 66' goal
  • Harrinson Mancilla 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcelo Ortiz 30'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Carrera 59'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Pereyra 77'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Thaller 89'