Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.59% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 10.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.25%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.45%) , while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 20.8% likelihood.