Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 30.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Banfield win was 0-1 (11.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.