Argentine Primera Division
Gameweek
3
Feb 4, 2026 12.15am
2
1
HT :
1
0
FT
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
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-
Fabrizio Sartori
21'
-
Alejo Osella
52'
-
Bautista Dadín
72'
-
Gonzalo Rios
72'
-
Gonzalo Ríos
72'
-
Ezequiel Bonifacio
81'
-
Stefano Moreyra
88'
-
Juan Manuel Cabrera
46'
-
Julian Contrera
46'
-
Julián Contrera
46'
-
Mauricio Martinez
62'
-
Junior Marabel
62'
-
Mauricio Martínez
62'
-
Junior Marabel
69'
-
Brandon Márquez
83'
Independiente Rivadavia vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 47.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.07% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%) , while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result
Independiente Rivadavia
47.8%
▼
(-0.84)
Draw
28.07%
▲
(+0.13)
Sarmiento
24.13%
▲
(+0.70)
Both Teams to Score:
42.71%
▲
(+0.32)
Goals
Over 1.5
64.1%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
35.9%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 2.5
37.55%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 2.5
62.45%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 3.5
17.62%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 3.5
82.38%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 4.5
8.77%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 4.5
91.23%
▼
(-0.16)
First Half Winner
Independiente Rivadavia
34.04%
▲
(+0.29)
Draw
48.93%
▼
(-0.33)
Sarmiento
17.02%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
Independiente Rivadavia
55.15%
▲
(+0.56)
No Goal
10.88%
▼
(-0.11)
Sarmiento
33.97%
▼
(-0.46)
Corners
Over 8
17.05%
▼
(-37.35)
Equal 8
6.63%
▼
(-5.60)
Under 8
76.31%
▲
(+42.95)
Over 9
12.44%
▼
(-29.82)
Equal 9
4.62%
▼
(-7.52)
Under 9
82.95%
▲
(+37.35)
Over 10.5
9.33%
▼
(-21.91)
Under 10.5
90.67%
▲
(+21.91)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 1.5
37.6%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
62.4%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 2.5
14.44%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
85.56%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
4.36%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
95.64%
▲
(+0.11)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5
55.61%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 0.5
44.39%
▼
(-0.84)
Over 1.5
20.43%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 1.5
79.57%
▼
(-0.89)
Over 2.5
5.33%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 2.5
94.67%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 3.5
1.14%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
98.86%
▼
(-0.10)
Score analysis
Independiente Rivadavia
47.8%
Draw
28.08%
Sarmiento
24.13%
Independiente Rivadavia
1-0
@
15.41%
▼
(-0.19)
2-0 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.29)
2-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 47.8%
2-0 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.29)
2-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 47.8%
Draw
1-1
@
13.07%
0-0 @ 10.88% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.08%
0-0 @ 10.88% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.08%
Sarmiento
0-1
@
9.62%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 24.13%
Head to Head
Argentine Primera Division
Gameweek
3
-
Emanuel Hernandez
29'
-
Juan Manuel Insaurralde
56'
-
Nahuel Gallardo
73'
-
Fernando Godoy
85'
-
Matias Ruiz
35'
-
Mauro Maidana
56'
-
Francisco Petrasso
81'
-
Gaston Gil Romero
86'