Club Friendlies 3
Jan 15, 2026 9.15pm
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Fabricio Fernández 35' goal
  • Fabricio Fernandez Pertusso 35' goal
  • goal Ramiro Ruiz 5'
  • goal Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez  5'
  • goal Ramiro Ruiz 8'
  • goal Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez  8'

Progreso vs Atletico Tucuman - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 12.00am
Cerro Largo 1 - 2 Tucuman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.22% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%) , while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Progreso 22.67% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 28.22% ▲ (+0.40)
Atletico Tucuman 49.11% ▼ (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.16% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.83% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 35.17% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 38.9% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 61.1% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 19.47% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 80.53% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 10.09% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 4.5 89.91% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Progreso 18.38% ▲ (+0.26)
Draw 48.73% ▼ (-0.20)
Atletico Tucuman 32.89% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Progreso 36.48% ▲ (+0.20)
No Goal 11.25% ▲ (+0.10)
Atletico Tucuman 52.27% ▼ (-0.30)

Corners

Over 8 46.96% ▼ (-0.36)
Equal 8 12.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 40.59% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 9 35.32% ▼ (-0.32)
Equal 9 11.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 53.04% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 10.5 25.32% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 10.5 74.68% ▲ (+0.25)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 19.63% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 80.37% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 2.5 4.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.54% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.02% ▲ (+0.01)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5 73.76% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 0.5 26.24% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 1.5 39.68% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 1.5 60.32% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 2.5 16.66% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 2.5 83.34% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 3.5 5.85% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 94.15% ▲ (+0.18)

Score analysis

Progreso 22.66%
Draw 28.22%
Atletico Tucuman 49.1%
Progreso
1-0 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 11.25% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.22%
Atletico Tucuman
0-1 @ 14.57% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.14)
1-2 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 49.1%