Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.38% and a win for Estudiantes Río Cuarto had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%) , while for a Estudiantes Río Cuarto win it was 0-1 (9.1%).