Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes Río Cuarto win with a probability of 37.53%. A draw had a probability of 31.74% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes Río Cuarto win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%) , while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.