Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 9, 2026 1.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
  • Santiago Rodriguez 61' yellowcard
  • Luciano Paredes 61' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodríguez 61' yellowcard
  • L. Paredes 61' yellowcard
  • Luciano Paredes 63' yellowcard
  • Tomas O'Connor 65' yellowcard
  • Brian Nicolás Ferreyra 65' yellowcard
  • Tomás O'Connor 65' yellowcard
  • Facundo Lencioni 73' goal
  • Diego Gustavo Mondino 81' yellowcard
  • Diego Mondino 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Jara 10'
  • yellowcard Hernan De La Fuente 46'
  • yellowcard Hernán de la Fuente  46'
  • yellowcard Jeremias Lazaro 65'
  • yellowcard Jeremías Lázaro 65'
  • yellowcard Franco Moyano 71'
  • yellowcard Matías Gallardo 80'
  • yellowcard Matias Fonseca 80'
  • yellowcard Matías Fonseca 80'

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Instituto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 1.00am
Union 4 - 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 12.15am
Instituto 2 - 2 Lanus
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Alex Luna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia Mendoza win with a probability of 42.62%. A draw had a probability of 29.92% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 27.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia Mendoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.41%) , while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.

Result

Gimnasia Mendoza 42.62% (+0.02)
Draw 29.92% (-0.05)
Instituto 27.46% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.64% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.23% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 37.77% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 36.04% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 63.96% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 17.25% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 82.75% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 8.67% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 91.33% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Gimnasia Mendoza 27.83% (-0.34)
Draw 55.22% (+0.58)
Instituto 16.95% (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Gimnasia Mendoza 50.82% (+0.17)
No Goal 12.38% (+0.04)
Instituto 36.8% (-0.20)

Corners

Over 8 51.29% (+0.07)
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 36.71% (-0.08)
Over 9 39.66% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.63% (+0.02)
Under 9 48.71% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 29.31% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 70.69% (-0.04)

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 1.5 33.56% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.44% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 12.61% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 87.39% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.87% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.13% (+0.02)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 57.89% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 42.11% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 22.23% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 77.77% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 6.46% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.54% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.49% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.51% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Gimnasia Mendoza 42.62%
Draw 29.92%
Instituto 27.45%
Gimnasia Mendoza
1-0 @ 14.39% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.15% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 42.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.41% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 12.38% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.03)
Total : 29.92%
Instituto
0-1 @ 10.99% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.65% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 27.45%