Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 9, 2026 1.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
  • Santiago Rodriguez 61' yellowcard
  • Luciano Paredes 61' yellowcard
  • Luciano Paredes 63' yellowcard
  • Tomas O'Connor 65' yellowcard
  • Brian Nicolás Ferreyra 65' yellowcard
  • Facundo Lencioni 73' goal
  • Diego Gustavo Mondino 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Jara 10'
  • yellowcard Hernan De La Fuente 46'
  • yellowcard Jeremias Lazaro 65'
  • yellowcard Franco Moyano 71'
  • yellowcard Matías Gallardo 80'
  • yellowcard Matias Fonseca 80'

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Instituto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 1.00am
Union 4 - 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Valentino Simoni

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 12.15am
Instituto 2 - 2 Lanus
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Alex Luna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gimnasia Mendoza win with a probability of 42.6%. A draw has a probability of 29.97% and a win for Instituto has a probability of 27.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia Mendoza win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.13%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.43%) , while for a Instituto win it is 0-1 (10.98%).

Result

Gimnasia Mendoza 42.6% (+0.08)
Draw 29.97%
Instituto 27.43% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.74% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.33% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 37.67% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 36.13% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 63.87% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 17.3% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 82.7% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 8.71%
Under 4.5 91.29%

First Half Winner

Gimnasia Mendoza 28.16% (+0.18)
Draw 54.64% (-0.25)
Instituto 17.2% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Gimnasia Mendoza 50.66% (+0.02)
No Goal 12.35% (-0.04)
Instituto 36.99% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 51.23% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 36.78%
Over 9 39.61% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.62% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.77% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 29.28%
Under 10.5 70.72%

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 1.5 33.64% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 66.36% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.66% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.34% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.89% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.11% (-0.02)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 58% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 42% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 22.3% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 77.7% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.5% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.5% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.51% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.49% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Gimnasia Mendoza 42.6%
Draw 29.98%
Instituto 27.44%
Gimnasia Mendoza
1-0 @ 14.36% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.13% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.06%
3-0 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 42.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.43% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 12.35% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 29.98%
Instituto
0-1 @ 10.98% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 27.44%