Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 3, 2026 1.00am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Rafael Profini 4' goal
  • Luciano Paredes 41' goal
  • L. Paredes 41' goal
  • Emiliano Alvarez 66' yellowcard
  • Misael Aguirre 66' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Álvarez 66' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Agustin Colazo 72' yellowcard
  • Santiago Grella 72' yellowcard
  • Agustín Colazo 72' yellowcard
  • Santiago Grella Raviolo 72' yellowcard
  • Diego Armando Diaz 77' yellowcard
  • Froilan Gabriel Diaz 78' yellowcard
  • Diego Armando Diaz 78' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Estigarribia 79' yellowcard
  • Froilan Gabriel Diaz 81' yellowcard
  • Diego Díaz 81' yellowcard
  • Froilan Gabriel Diaz 84' goal
  • Diego Díaz 84' goal
  • yellowcard Matías Recalde 34'
  • yellowcard Agustin Modica 34'
  • yellowcard Agustín Módica 34'
  • yellowcard Tomas O'Connor 46'
  • yellowcard Tomás O'Connor 46'
  • yellowcard Luciano Cingolani 70'
  • yellowcard Luciano Cingolani 71'
  • yellowcard Fermín Antonini 81'
  • yellowcard Fermin Antonini 81'

Union vs Gimnasia Mendoza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jan 29, 2026 10.15pm
Lanus 2 - 1 Union
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Cristian Tarragona

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 11.00pm
Gimnasia Mendoza 0 - 1 San Lorenzo
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 40.95%. A draw had a probability of 31.02% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza had a probability of 28.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.82%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it was 0-1 (11.18%).

Result

Union 40.95% (-0.47)
Draw 31.02% (+0.02)
Gimnasia Mendoza 28.04% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.89% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.81% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 40.19% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 32.52% (-0.66)
Under 2.5 67.48% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 15.01% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 84.99% (+0.48)
Over 4.5 7.09% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 92.91% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Union 30.93% (+0.40)
Draw 50.34% (-0.94)
Gimnasia Mendoza 18.73% (+0.54)

Team To Score First

Union 54.43% (+1.00)
No Goal 13.62% (-0.10)
Gimnasia Mendoza 31.95% (-0.91)

Corners

Over 8 49.15% (+1.47)
Equal 8 12.3% (+0.32)
Under 8 38.54% (-1.79)
Over 9 37.44% (+1.04)
Equal 9 11.72% (+0.44)
Under 9 50.85% (-1.47)
Over 10.5 27.2% (+0.59)
Under 10.5 72.8% (-0.60)

Union Goals

Over 1.5 30.24% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 69.76% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 9.96% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 90.04% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 2.73% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 97.27% (+0.15)

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 0.5 56.88% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 43.12% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 21.75% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 78.25% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 6.46% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 93.54% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 1.65% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.35% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Union 40.94%
Draw 31.02%
Gimnasia Mendoza 28.04%
Union
1-0 @ 15.39% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.84% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.72% (-0.14)
Total : 40.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.82% (+0.39)
0-0 @ 13.62% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.21)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 31.02%
Gimnasia Mendoza
0-1 @ 11.18% (+0.41)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.92% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.64% (-0.02)
Total : 28.04%