Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 40.95%. A draw had a probability of 31.02% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza had a probability of 28.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.82%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it was 0-1 (11.18%).