Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 42.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.53% and a win for Union had a probability of 27.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.89%) , while for a Union win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.