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Lautaro Navarro Álvarez
71'
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Lautaro Navarro
71'
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Emilio Giaccone
62'
Defensor Sporting vs Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 38.74%. A draw had a probability of 31.99% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 29.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.08%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.
Result
Defensor Sporting
29.27%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
31.99%
▼
(-0.04)
Union
38.74%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
44.97%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
62.8%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
37.2%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
36%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
64%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
16.98%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
83.02%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
7.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
92.05%
▲
(+0.01)
First Half Winner
Defensor Sporting
19.51%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
52.7%
▼
(-0.10)
Union
27.79%
▼
(-0.04)
Team To Score First
Defensor Sporting
37.64%
▲
(+0.05)
No Goal
12.89%
▼
(-0.01)
Union
49.47%
▼
(-0.04)
Corners
Over 8
49.75%
▲
(+0.03)
Equal 8
11.73%
Under 8
38.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 9
38.52%
▲
(+0.03)
Equal 9
11.23%
Under 9
50.25%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 10.5
28.61%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 10.5
71.39%
▼
(-0.02)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 1.5
24.75%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
75.25%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 2.5
6.57%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
93.43%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
1.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
98.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Union Goals
Over 0.5
67.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
32.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
31.85%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
68.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
10.93%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
89.07%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
3.01%
Under 3.5
96.99%
Score analysis
Defensor Sporting
29.25%
Draw
31.99%
Union
38.73%
Defensor Sporting
1-0
@
11.34%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.95%
2-0 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 29.25%
2-1 @ 6.95%
2-0 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 29.25%
Draw
1-1
@
14.08%
0-0 @ 12.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 31.99%
0-0 @ 12.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 31.99%
Union
0-1
@
12.94%
1-2 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 38.73%
1-2 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 38.73%