Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia Mendoza win with a probability of 38.5%. A draw had a probability of 31.39% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia Mendoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.35%) , while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.