Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 30.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (12.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.