Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 41.49%. A draw had a probability of 32.57% and a win for Cúcuta Deportivo had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.56%) , while for a Cúcuta Deportivo win it was 0-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.